Date: February 1, 2016

Podcast: Sweden, Europe, Migrants and the Neo-Nativist backlash

1What is happening in Sweden, with the right wing, and why is there a Nativist backlash against migrants in Europe? Is there a culture war going on? Was Cologne and Stockholm and Helsinki a sign of things to come? 



Listen here.


Also, here’s what could have been a Realist policy for Middle East

Further reading:

  1. Essay: Some tough question about migrants and refugees.
  2. Essay: Hungary is just a start.

Poll finds 1 point race, Trump hurt by missing debate

A poll released the morning of the Iowa caucuses by Emerson College Polling Society finds Donald Trump ahead of Ted Cruz by 1 point–27% to 26%–in the Republican contest and Marco Rubio in striking distance at 22%.

The poll gives Rubio his best showing yet, but it is in line with general momentum in recent polls. Opinion Savvy’s poll, which surveyed people between January 29-30, found Rubio and Cruz tied at 19% and Trump with 20%. Quinnipac (Jan. 25-31) found rubio at 17%. Overall, Rubio has gained 6 points in the Real Clear Politics average since January 23, to rise to an average of 16.9% in recent polls. Trump and Cruz have both seen their numbers fall in that timeframe.

Also notable: Emerson found Trump was hurt by pulling out of the Fox News debate right before Iowa. 39% of voters survey said they would be less likely to vote for Trump, compared to 14% who would be more likely, while it wouldn’t factor into 52% of people’s votes.

Hillary Clinton was found to be leading Sanders 50.6% to 42.6%, although, due to how the Iowa caucuses distribute delegates on the Democratic side, the number of delegates might look different. For one thing, Martin O’Malley supporters, who are 4.1% of the electorate in the poll, will have to support another candidate when O’Malley falls under the threshold.

Full poll results available as a PDF.

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Monday Reading List: Iowa Caucuses edition!

It’s Monday, January 1, and you know what that means: Not only is it the day I publish my Monday Reading List, it is also the day of the Iowa caucuses, the first day of voting for the U.S. presidential primaries for both parties.

First, an article I wrote for Acculturated that was published this week:
Hollywood Pandering to Chinese Censors

China’s government has talked about trying to use film to spread soft power. … The 2013 independent film A Touch of Sin, by Chinese director Jia Zhangke, won best screenplay at the Cannes Film Festival, best film editing at the Taiwan Golden Horse Film Festival, and earned a 93% score on Rotten Tomatoes. The film was banned in China. How can China ever spread cultural power if it stifles its best artists?

Read full article.

Now for some reading material about the Iowa caucuses:

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