Listen here:

 

Key points:

  1. If the Kremlin decides it’s a cold war, it is a cold war…regardless of what US/West wants. “The enemy gets a vote”…as Gen MadDog Mattis said. One cannot walk away, if a conflict is thrust on them by adversarial powers…and sooner or later, the West needs to come in terms to that.
  2. Major implications for China, if US-Russia bogged down in proxy conflicts in Europe and Middle East, China can develop economically more, with free hand in Africa, and Lat-Am and also in the finance sectors in UK and Germany.
  3. Russia is not the Soviet Union. The intention is there, but not the capability and global reach. Any proxy conflict will be localised in mainly East Europe an Middle East.
  4. However, if US leaves the ME to Russia and other regional powers to balance, and focuses attention to Asia, it will be interesting to see in the next few years. Just a word of caution, any conflict in Europe and Middle East, will pale in comparison to a Great Power war in Asia.

Related Posts